Thursday, October 27, 2005

Developers unhappy about PS3

There are reports of developers being unhappy with the PS3, for a number of reasons. Here´s GameScience´s story:
The latest issue of Japanese economy magazine, Weekly Diamond, reveals that developers are unhappy with the state of PS3 development tools, and software is likely to be late in coming for the hardware. The article states that PS3 dev tools have only just started shipping to developers this month, while 360 tools were shipped last summer. Furthermore, SCE has not yet announced the price of the console, so developers are unable to predict what audience they are targetting games at. President of Enterbrain, Hirokazu Hamamura, says "We are unlikely to see games exhibiting a level only PS3 can achieve until the end of 2007."

The article goes on to compare the benefits of PS2 as a cheap DVD player when it launched in 2000, with PS3's Blu-Ray playback capabilities, the main difference between then and now being that the industry is currently deep in a format-war for next-generation video, and that Blu-Ray movies still don't exist. It is therefore deduced that the number of users who will pick it up as a cheap Blu-Ray player at launch is somewhat smaller, and that sales of game software will be key for the system.
Sources: GameScience, Shuukan Diamond

Thanks to: Joystiq

39 comments:

Shoxware Games said...

somehow i have the feeling, that the ps3 is (in german) -> "ein griff ins klo!"

Anonymous said...

Eww... what was that ?

Falafelkid said...

So do I. Sony might be in real trouble. Blu Ray might lose the next-gen DVD war, the hardware is both difficult and costly to develop for, there will be a cheaper alternative that offers fundamentally new and original gameplay and an equal alternative that will be available half a year earlier... and I am afraid to say: the PS3 design´s is a far cry from the superb industrial design Sony was known for in the past.

Considering how much Sony will lose with each console sold, if the PS3 doesn´t become an immediate bestseller, Sony could seriously fold. And there are a lot of reasons why it might not become a bestseller.

Falafelkid said...

What was what?

NuZeb said...

I think anonym wants to know what "griff ins klo" means :)

Falafelkid said...

Oh, okay. Sorry if I was a bit slow there. ;P It is best translated as ´Reaching out and putting your hand into the toilet´, I guess. It just means good intentions leading to... well... crap.

KeijiKG said...

Will PS3 be this generation's 3DO? Or will Sony and its consumers somehow work things out?

Tune in next time, same Bat Time. Same Bat Channel

Anonymous said...

hey falafel kid, did you pick up any info concerning the new issue of edge ? it was suppose to hold some kind of info on the revo ....

Falafelkid said...

Hang on, I read a post about that some days ago. Sorry, i couldn´t post it then. But there was no real news, I remember. Will try to post a link...

Anonymous said...

Sony is taking a big gamble this generation towards its desire for "living room" dominance.

However, the time is literally perfect for such a big strike. They have dominated the market for 2 generations, and now with a new competitor each generation they will lose marketshare, unless they provide something that will help recapture the market.

That is what they believe Blue-Ray will do for them. Next generation Sony will either win BIG, or lose BIG. But you have to risk to survive in business.

Nintendo is also risking big. They are putting their entire future into a concept controller, that will fundamentally change how we play games. People may embrace it, or people may not...and that really will determine if they survive. At least, Nintendo's concept will be cheap enough for curious people to try.

Microsoft is the only company next generation not risking anything. They are jumping the gun early to get the new system out. It is super powerful, but not impossible to develop for. And it has a controller that everyone is used to, and knows how to use.

Microsoft already has secured its place next generation. It will at least be second, and could take first.

Nintendo and Sony are the two mystery candidates.

If Nintendo fails. Sony takes second, and Microsoft first. If Sony fails, Nintendo could take First.

Falafelkid said...

Hi Anonymous. Thanks for the good comments here. I don´t agree with some of your conclusions, though.

I am pretty sure that Blu Ray is not a unique selling point. First of all, the format war is not decided. But, more fundamentally, a new format is not really desirable anyway. The DVD scored over VHS in a number of significant ways: it was more durable and it allowed for multimedia feature such as multiple audio and video tracks. Both Blu Ray and HD-DVD offer only more space (and consequently a higher resolution). So there is only a "more of something", rather than "something new". So there two critical issues here: Blu-Ray might not just lose the format war, there may be no sufficient demand for either format, at least for a number of years to come.

I also do not share your optimism concerning the Xbox360. I played it again yesterday and it is a sobering experience. Clearly, Microsoft rushed a number of games to the point, where they may indeed introduce an entirely original feature to home consoles: patches.

The Xbox360 has no chance of coming first, I believe. They may get second place if they are lucky. But only if Sony fails even worse. There are numerous experts that go on record by saying that PS3 and Xbox360 will only be able to use a decent aomunt of the hardware by the end of 2007. That is a bit late for impressing buyers. I believe Nintendo is best suited to win over a majority. In fact, I will be doubling my portfolio of Nintendo shares soon.

Anonymous said...

Speaking about disc formats, do we know if Revo will actually use DVD, or is it some format of their own once again ? I ask because I've always seen "12cm discs" about the Rev, and that's not really accurate.

Falafelkid said...

You don´t think Revo will use standard size discs? They probably will. I mean it plays back DVDs, so why not use DVD format for the games?

MR.Nintendo said...

I agree with falafelkid's opinion here.

The super capacity of new optical disc formats are not yet nessesary for games. Microsoft has also hinted about this.Of course Microsoft encourages to integrate the digital content into the high speed broadband networks, as one of their future profit points.

Nintendo on the other hand are doing the similar thing, but solely for their classic games.

However Sony's Blu-Ray Disc is the winner at the moment which is taking over the Hollywood movie industry. Appearantly, more than 60% of Hollywood industry shows suport for BluRay rather than HD-DVD. I can't see clearly the reason behind, perhaps Blu-Ray is beneficial in long range strategy, providing more capacity than HD and having better protection against pirate. HD-DVD is cheaper option and good for mass production based on the exsisting production lines.

Obviously,Sony and its PS3 want to dominate the market like the last gen, format-wise. The main advantage of PS3 is to serve as a low cost Blu-Ray Player compare to other DVD players.

I dont wish to see the relatively expensive Blu-Ray to take over but it is happening. But yeah, it would be very interesting to watch the drama of console wars.

Falafelkid said...

Hi MR.Nintendo. Thanks for joining us again. I just want to expand on the current state of the next-gen DVD format war. The list of supporting movie studios weighs in favour of Blu Ray, true. But remember that Intel and Microsoft are on HD-DVD´s side. And a movie studio supporting Blu-Ray is a movie studio supporting their direct competitor. I don´t think it will take a lot for those studios to change their mind.

Secondly, the consumers are the ultimate decider. No matter what the companies decide. The consumers will have to buy it. if they don´t, it still fails. And in every important format war, the cheapest option won: VHS won against Betamax and Video 2000. The Gameboy won against GameGear and Lynx. Laserdiscs or Minidiscs never got off the ground, either. The reason is that the consumer market wants consumer prices. I would still put my money on HD-DVD.

DeAngelo Guillory said...

Even so, I won't let Nintendo off easily if their console's graphics didn't match up to XBox360 or PS3s'.

It's hard to say whether or not that would be the case, given that Nintendo's interface over hardware stance is...shall we say, overconfident.

Hollywood and Broadway were named aptly to give us an idea about the graphics and performance and its true that GameCube was an optimal system (pushing all those effects with a high polygon count) and that Revolution should carry the same plus more with architecture, given that the N64/ArtX team is working a 3rd time only with ATi's finest this time around on the new GPU.

But on a business stance, I feel there may be some cutbacks that could keep the processor from being as powerful as it could be (shader applications, 64-bit color + lighting, cost effective processor speed, power consumption, cooling).

It's not that I'm saying graphics matter, but when you think about it, graphical hardware is what gives the visual to a developer's imagination. Gameplay is simply the interaction to that world.

In a nutshell I'd be PO'ed if most of the money going in the console's development was tilted in favor of the controller (no pun intended) whereas hardware wasn't so focused.

Even if PS3 is intimidating to developers, SOMEONE is going to want to be challenged from it at some point and those bottlenecks WILL be widened in time.

Nintendo, the weak point is exposed, now go DK on that smackaroni!

Red Bull and Vodka said...

I'm not sure why people are so sure Blu-Ray is doomed, or in any way a pricarious decision...

In my opinion, the format war is decided! The consortiums will both release their individual hardware and most studios will publish on both formats. There is no evidence out there to prove otherwise. Sony and Toshiba are not talking about a compromise anymore, they are more concerned with getting the 1st generation of players to the market.

I am not a Sony fan, but do not understimate those crafty bastards and their consortium. Matsushita (Panasonic, Technics, et al) is the largest consumer electronics manufacturer in the World and they are 100% behind Blu-Ray. Sony will use the PS3 as a trojan horse for Blu-Ray and Hollywood will see this. The only decision Hollywood will have to make is should we do Blu-Ray only or both of them?

Here's your choice ladies and gentleman;

1st Generation HD-DVD player @ $1,000

or

PS3 (1st generation Blu-Ray player) @ $400.

For the consumer, HD-DVD doesn't do a thing that Blu-Ray doesn't do, so why pay more? Is being able to watch the LOTR trilogy worth $600 more to the average consumer?

And BTW - M$, Intel, Dell and HP will have no bearing what-so-ever on this battle. DVD had no such involvement from any of these guys, and it did pretty darn good. When these guys attempt to throw their weight, it's typically a marketing excerise and nothing more. None of these guys make drives or have any hold on Hollywood so their effect, at best, would be minimal.

Falafelkid said...

Hi and welcome. Good post! Two points:

"most of the money going in the console's development was tilted in favor of the controller"

- In a way, yes. But Xbox360 has so little to show for itself, even given your assertion, Nintendo will be able to keep up for now.

"those bottlenecks WILL be widened in time."

- Again, yes. But read that comment: PS3 games will only make use of the hardware by late 2007. Also check [url]http://www.theinquirer.net/?article=27249[/url], the Xbox360 games will all be singlethreaded for now. By the time those consoles actually deliver, it may be time for a new console generation.

DeAngelo Guillory said...

Even with that in mind, it is a bit much how some developers, other gamers and I already have it in our minds that Revolution is an underpowered system (not to be confused with having lower spec numbers).

The fact is that we haven't seen any games that are in development to even PASS that judgment.

The games do matter, but so does that controller that plays them. If there are any more secrets on the controller no made public I sure hope they're big secrets. A 3D wand does sound good for swinging swords, doing dental, having a cooking game and all those other demonstrations we saw in the video.

There has to be some hook that discourages non-eccentric 3rd parties from resorting to the controller shell for their games.

Anonymous said...

Even still, Microsoft IS supporting the HD-DVD, but notice they aren't even putting it into their new system. I think MS learned their lesson about the last generation of video games. I also don't believe this hype about who's going to win what or what place a certain company is.. How's this sound, Xbox360 comes out...they're #1, why? Has PS3 or Rev come out no....so done deal. Genesis constantly kicked SNES butt around, then Nintendo won at the finish line. PSOne came out and it never gave up the lead, it made promises and kept them. PStwo came out off the heels of BACKWARDS compatibilty and XBOX was trying to be the Sega of 2000's and everyone killed the Gamecube, because of the "look" and the sheer lateness of the system... We shall see if MS keeps their promises for the 360. I've wanted a PS3 and Rev(i'm nintendo 4 life), but MS has sorta of convinced me of swinging over to them and away from PS3.

JC

Edge said...

Does someone have the Edge? A week or two earlier, Falafelkid posted a article that Edge maybe had some new Revolution informatien.. The Edge is suposed to be in stores (in the UK) right now.. Adn since I don't live in the UK, someone already has the Edge...

COuld that someone please tell us what Edge has wrote about the Revolution.. or tell us that it wasn't about the Revolution after all..

I thank you !!!!!

Anonymous said...

http://www.edge-online.co.uk/archives/console/index.php

Looks like a Dec Issue will have it

Falafelkid said...

Hi Red Bull and Vodka. Good to have you back, too. I appreciate your comments, but I don´t agree with a lot you are saying. Yes, MS and Intel do not seem to have much of a direct input on the decision. They will have some weigth indirectly, through partners, though.

Secondly, do not underestimate that all the movie studios that have joined (and it´s only Fox and Warner, as far as I can make out) do so grundgingly. They are well aware that the license fees they are paying are going directly into the pockets of their main competitor. Consider this point carefully. If they think they can swap camps, they will.

Thirdly, if HD-DVD players will cost almost $1.000 at first, consider what it will cost Sony to include Blu-Ray players in the PS3 and sell it for $400. They will be losing money like crazy. After all, Blu-Ray is the more expensive format, with regard to both players and discs.

And lastly, following on from that point: The cost of the discs will also sway the consumers. And Blu-Ray discs will cost substantially more. Here´s some info from ZDNet:

"HD-DVD discs will cost only a bit more than current DVDs. Sony estimates that single-layer Blu-ray discs initially can be produced for 10 percent more than today's double-layer DVDs, while double-layer Blu-ray discs will cost 50 percent more."

And remember that is a Sony estimate! The actual price may be way beyond that. So your arguments about "Why pay more" actually work in favour of HD-DVD, because what good is a player without a library of titles?

P.S.: You also failed to address my point about there being really no need for either new format. I am still extremely happy with your average DVD. Apart from more storage space (and consequently better resolution), either format will offer nothing over old DVDs. At any rate, they offer nothing new, only more of the old.

ColdBlooder said...

hi!

something just popped into my mind. if i remember corretly, panasonic (matsushita in japan, if i remember correctly) did the cd drive for the gamecube. if they are building the cd/dvd/whatsoever drive for revolution, it may be a hd-dvd device (or at lease a modified version of it, since nintendo is nr.1 in piracy protection) because panasonic joined the good oh... ahh hd-dvd side...

Anonymous said...

I just wanted to comment on the comment about Dell, MS and Intel not having any say in the adoption of DVDs as a standard.

That is true, but it is irrelevant. They weren't in the business of creating and selling VCRs to people. The average computer user didn't use a tape drive.

In this format war, either the Blu-Ray or HD-DVD could be used for more than just movies. Computer users have more of a stake in the high definition format war than in the transition from VHS to DVD.

Anonymous said...

Also, in addition to the switch from CD to DVD drives, it was a jump from a 700 MB capacity to a 4.7 GB capacity. There weren't two different camps for the higher capacity disc until the burners hit the market.

Even with the DVD-R and DVD+R drives, most home DVD players support both formats nowadays. The differences are negligible at this point. That won't be the case with HD-DVD vs Blu-Ray.

Red Bull and Vodka said...

Hey Fala - I gotta respond...

Firstly...

What groups are you talking about regarding MS and Intel? They may be able to 'strong-arm' someone in the US, but no-one of any importance for this regard in the far-east. I've done plenty of business with guys like Matsushita, Kawasaki HI and Sumitomo over the years and you need to understand that they do not care one iota about "US Big-Dog" companies. These guys were building micro-chips before Intel made their first shiny sticker and as for Microsoft - they have absolutley no respect for Mr. Gates.

Secondly...

Movie studios that have joined Blu-Ray who were in the HD DVD camp = 2 (Warner Bros. and Paramount)

Movie studios that have joined HD-DVD who were in Blu-Ray = 0

Number of Studios who are currently exclusive to Blu-Ray = 10 (Miramax, Disney, Fox, Searchlight, Touchstone, Lions Gate Films, MGM, Columbia Tri-Star, Sony Pictures Classic)

Number of movie studios who are currently are exclusive to HD-DVD = 1 (Universal)

NBC-Universal is expected by the industry to announce it is going both ways in the near future. Imagine if they are the only studio that doesn't offer Blu-Ray media, because they are the only ones right now.

Here's the real kicker though on this subject;

Y-T-D DVD Only Sales (As of 10/8/05)

Warner 20.1%
Disney 17.8%
Sony 15.4%
FOX 12.4%
Univ 13.1%
Para 10.5%
Other 6.1%
Lions G 4.6%

TOTAL US MARKET Y-T-D $16.4 BILLION

HD-DVD has exclusive rights to 13.1% of the market and access to 49.8% of what is out there.

Blu-Ray has exclusive rights to 50.2% of the market and access to 86.6% of ther market (everyone except Universal at this time)

Blu-Ray has EXCLUSIVE rights to more market share than HD-DVD has NON-EXCLUSIVE rights to. What does this mean? Bascially, 80% of HD-DVD's catalogue will be available on Blu-Ray too, where as only 50% of Blu-Ray's catalogue will be available on HD-DVD.

Hollywood has already decided this race. Intel & M$ are powerless to effect these figures...

Thirdly...

M$ X-Box division has lost $5 billion over five years due to losing money on consoles. Sony will do the same to begin with, but eventually they will build the PS3 smarter and cheaper so as to turn a profit. This is what Sony does for a living and they're good at it. Microsoft outsource, Sony manufacture. The reason these HD-DVD players will be so expensive to begin with is simple supply and demand. The profit margins retailers were making on Plasmas when they first came out were obscene - becuase there were not many of them available and everyone wanted one. Basic economics. The same will be said with HD-DVD & Blu-Ray Players when launched, but not for the PS3.

Forthly(is that even a word..?)...

You quote ZDNet on the cost of media, so I quote Gizmondo

"Panasonic announced back in March of this year that production of Blu-Ray discs could have the same cost-per-disc price as current DVDs. Perhaps lower, even - remember that announcement about Blu-Ray discs made of paper from earlier this year? "The combination of paper material and printing technology is also expected to lead to a reduction in cost per disc and will expand usage," read the Sony press release. Likewise, Sony has developed a Blu-Ray mastering system requiring one fifth the space of current DVD mastering systems, that can also produce DVD masters."

In a nutshell no-one really nows how much these things are going to cost to produce yet, they're all still fine tunning. And for every website and press release that says HD-DVD is cheaper to produce, there's another one that says the same about Blu-Ray.

In the end, the market leader will have the cheapest cost for producing media. The more you make the cheaper it becomes per unit. There is no market leader yet, so no-one knows who will have the cheapest media.

BTW - I remember when blank RW DVD's were $49 each. How much are they now? The cost of the media is not going to be a long term factor.

Love this banter. Who's next...?

Anonymous said...

Hi Red Bull and Vodka
I'm really sure that Blu-Ray will doomed form start.

Movie studios will and must publish on what consumers select. Sony and Toshiba are not talking about a compromise thay know thay will lose for sure and compromise will don't do any thing.

Sony will use the PS3 as a trojan horse for Blu-Ray. But we don't know it will #1. Blu-Ray may make ps3 cost too much. and even make ps3 #3.

also both hd-dvd can store movie about 4h. too big already
Blu-Ray offer about 7h. for 50% more ...

but wait to day it hard to find movie as long as 3h. isn't it? and why pay more?

Anonymous said...

Developers was unhappy with the PSP at first because Sony was slow with giving out info and sdk's for the PSP. Now look at where they're at. Sure they dont have much games as DS but its still turning out some money and giving the DS a run for its money. In the first few years of every business when something new is introduced, you're expected to lose money so this is no different. Sony will start turning profits in the years to come. Its all about longevity and making profits. I wouldn't really put down the Xbox 360 either. The graphics now may not look good but give it another year and we'll start seeing some really high def graphics.

Red Bull and Vodka said...

Anon...

What the hell was that?

PS3 will be third?

The length of a movie?

Who's paying more and what are the buying?

What have you been smoking?

C'mon - gimme a rebuttal worth some salt...

pi said...

opps! sorry.

http://news.teamxbox.com/xbox/9377
/Confirmed-Toshiba-Delays-US-Launch-of-HD-DVD/

HD DVD format is supported by cutting-edge blue-laser technology, new high level data-processing techniques, and highly-efficient video-compression technologies. A single, dual-layer HD DVD ROM disc, which has a 30-gigabyte capacity, ****can hold as much as eight hours**** of high-quality, high definition movie content.

Blu-Ray offer longer than hd-dvd (8h) and will about 13-14h if it store same way. for 50% more price ... but it no need to buy more for unused space (movie used about 3h)

I don't have time to finish a movie that must put on Blu-Ray or nearly full HD-dvd in one day for sure - -"

Ps3 may be third. why?

x-box360 first start it will get so maney gamer form start. x-box360 have good game list. and x-box360 at 400$ having hdd for mp3 and all windows media center ready.

For Revolution. Nintendo move to the bigger target not only now a day gamer. no one say revolution's graphic will poor yes cpu is not as good as other. but have that controller. It price is near 200$. so even you have x-box or ps3 already you may look for it. Revolution also have some more hidden.

But Ps3 start late than x-box360 about a year. It will be expensive (sony say that when remove router and hdd. and it's "sony expensive") shot of game list (dv-kit just out less game for it) don't have a harddisk (so it can't open mp3 on it price) maybe it even can't open old cd and dvd (like ps2) it market in his old target that x-box do for a year already.

Longer length of a movie mean pay more but if it no used who will buy it?

If ps3 not #1 will it able to trojan ? ... there is also some people don't play game and thay don't pay more.

dvd is some other thing cd picture is really poor have to used 2 disk to finish. and tv support dvd already. but hd-dvd and Blu-Ray is other thing you need that expensive hd-tv to see a small change. So I think Blu-Ray will end like betamax.

pi said...

opps! again

30-gigabyte HD DVD ROM disc is 2 layer
50-gigabyte Blu-Ray disc is 2 layer too

so 4h. and 7h. are correct (for single layer)

Red Bull and Vodka said...

I still have no real idea what you are trying to say, but I'll take a shot at it anyway...

How much do you think the PS3 is going to be?

What the hell does the length of a movie have to do with the any of this?

BTW - Quoting an X-Box website is not really the most impartial source for the Blu-Ray / HD-DVD debate.

Blu-Ray is the next Betamax? Quit smokin' that stuff - it will do you damage.

pi said...

How much do you think the PS3 is going to be?

: How do you think it will. It have cell cpu and rsx gpu it can't cheep. even Blu-Ray will cost ps3 50$ more (even it used on-bord sound card and poor main-bord that can't let cpu and gpu work at it max performance)

: And how do you think Hd-Dvd player that it's driver cheeper than Blu-Ray driver and other device are same?

What the hell does the length of a movie have to do with the any of this?

: movie now a day run under 4h. so both *work* for movie. But Blu-Ray will more *expensive*. how people will select? ... Ok. How md end it's about 4 cd space. but *expensive*.

: betamax is over price so it die. betamax , md and Blu-Ray are go same way.

Quoting an X-Box website is not really the most impartial source for the Blu-Ray / HD-DVD debate.

: You can find it on other website too. I fond it on first page by google. Do you have any source? it will the same. This data can't fake

: More to ps3 at 400$. it's might fake. Blu-Ray not have a movie player yet. so now no source for it. (even what sony do at e3 are fake)

Red Bull and Vodka said...

In my, and most other people's opinions, the PS3 will be $400. The market will dictate this, just like it did with the XB360. These products are not cost plus items - they are sold at a level that the market can bare.

And please, no-one gimme this XB360 is $300 crap. With a hard drive, wireless controllers, etc. - it's $400.

": And how do you think Hd-Dvd player that it's driver cheeper than Blu-Ray driver and other device are same?"

I have no idea what you just said.

": movie now a day run under 4h. so both *work* for movie. But Blu-Ray will more *expensive*. how people will select? ... Ok. How md end it's about 4 cd space. but *expensive*."

Once again, I'm really struggling to understand you, but I'll take a stab at it anyway. I think you fail to see it's not the length of the movie that is key, it the quality of presentation, extras, resolution (audio & video) and lossless compression codecs (or lack of compression altogether)that takes up the space. DVD's are already maxed out, after just 7 years. When I first got a 20GB hard drive I never thought I'd fill it. But guess what, I can't live on less than a 60GB nowadays.

Betamax's failure had absolutley nothing to do with price. Not a thing. Where did you get that little nugget from? It was due to Sony's reluctance to license the Betamax technology to other manufacturers so they could build their own VCRs. JVC chose to do the opposite with VHS and let anyone build a VHS deck who would pay them a royalty fee. Because of this the studios backed VHS as they had a wider selection of players on the market than Betamax and thus more in the home of the consumer. Anyone who knows anything about the consumer electronics industry knows this. MiniDisc had a similar issue in that Sony wanted too much control over the hardware and licensing of any MD products. With Blu-Ray they are learning from their Beta & MiniDisc mistakes and inviting EVERYONE to make Blu-Ray products.

No-one accused anyone of faking anything. My point being the PR departments of each format will have you believe they are the cheaper than the other one. Being that no-one has sold anything yet, I'd say it's all heresay until they actually hit the market.

HERE'S A FACT FOR YOU - NO-ONE HAS A CLUE HOW MUCH MONEY WILL BE MADE UNTIL THEY SELL ONE IN A STORE. WE'RE NOT THERE YET. FOR EITHER FORMAT.

": More to ps3 at 400$. it's might fake. Blu-Ray not have a movie player yet. so now no source for it. (even what sony do at e3 are fake) "

This one's a tough one too...It seems like you're trying to say that Sony didn't have a real Blu-Ray player @ E3? What the fu..? Blu Ray has been on sale in Japan for over a year!!! What do you think those crazy Japanese do with them?
Use them as doorstops?
Bookends?
Weapons?

Maybe, just maybe, they record things on them from their HDTV receivers and watch them at a later date? Maybe Sony did that @ E3? What da ya think?

What Blu-Ray does not have yet is pre-recorded media from a studio for sale in a store yet. Come to think of it, neither does HD-DVD. So what's your point?

You really struggling with this one pi...

I'm giving you hard data and historical facts about an industry I've been in for 15+ years. You're telling me about what you think Sony did at a trade show that you didn't even go to...

pi said...

In my, and most other people's opinions, the PS3 will be $400. The market will dictate this, just like it did with the XB360. These products are not cost plus items - they are sold at a level that the market can bare.

: so you don't know it will 400$ or not. on ps2 how older console price and how ps2 price?

And please, no-one gimme this XB360 is $300 crap. With a hard drive, wireless controllers, etc. - it's $400.

: I don't say 300$. do I? ... I say x-box360 +hdd and windows media center VS your ps3 (and in my opinion ps3 not that your 400$ Quit smokin' that stuff. Sony fan boy. just rsx cost more than 150$ How rsx and so on... sony might sale ps3 under cost ... but how much sony can pay for "WORLD")

: And how do you think Hd-Dvd player will price? more than 400$ it's just old dvd + 10% more for hd-dvd. it's not all new player.

I'm really struggling to understand you, but I'll take a stab at it anyway. I think you fail to see it's not the length of the movie that is key, it the quality of presentation, extras, resolution (audio & video) and lossless compression codecs (or lack of compression altogether)that takes up the space. DVD's are already maxed out, after just 7 years. When I first got a 20GB hard drive I never thought I'd fill it. But guess what, I can't live on less than a 60GB nowadays.

: So small will poor quality. No you got something wrong. Do you know? code divx and h264? who bigger who better? Hd-dvd will make code by microsoft. So it will only small different. For Blu-Ray that unseen different will cost you and how much people will buy it? I mean who using 8mm. it far better than vhs or dvd. how much people buy it?

you believe they are the cheaper than the other one. Being that no-one has sold anything yet

: Sony estimates that single-layer Blu-ray discs initially can be produced for 10 percent more than today's double-layer DVDs, while double-layer Blu-ray discs will cost 50 percent more. And remember that is a Sony (Blu-ray side) estimate! The actual price ....

It seems like you're trying to say that Sony didn't have a real Blu-Ray player @ E3? What the fu..? Blu Ray has been on sale in Japan for over a year!!!

: And how much dose it cost? I know you will ask. how much dose only dvd player cost? And How much if that dvd player +cell cpu +rsx gpu will cost? ... you might need to remake ps3 price. : p

Red Bull and Vodka said...

pi...you just don't get it, so it's pointless. But FYI and becuase I can't help myself...

HD-DVD + 10% is the cost of the media (the disc), not the player. It is a totally new player. Are you trying to tell me that Wal-Mart will sell a HD-DVD player for $30 + 10% on day one??

And as I have said on this blog before, I am not a Sony fan boy. I HATE thier consumer electronics, and never have owned, or had a desire to own a PS2. If I'm a fan boy - then it's Nintendo. however, after having researched the Blu-Ray & HD-DVD debate, I believe Blu-Ray is better positioned to win out in the long run. It's not a Sony thing.

The lastest Sony Blu-Ray recorder (not just a player, but a recorder also) retails for about $625 in Japan. So when we do it your way (which is non-sensical and totally flawed) and we simply add the RSX Gpu, Cell Cpu and all the other crap to it the PS3 will surley cost over $1,000, right? Do you really think the PS3 will cost over $1,000?

pi said...

HD-DVD + 10% is the cost of the media (the disc), not the player. It is a totally new player. Are you trying to tell me that Wal-Mart will sell a HD-DVD player for $30 + 10% on day one??

: opps. yes the media is 10% more. so it will... cost less than bru-ray 50% more. even for computer or that player. ... sorry I just a little mass up.

: So do you think when hd-dvd player fiish it will more expensive than bru-ray?

The lastest Sony Blu-Ray recorder (not just a player, but a recorder also) retails for about $625 in Japan. So when we do it your way (which is non-sensical and totally flawed) and we simply add the RSX Gpu, Cell Cpu and all the other crap to it the PS3 will surley cost over $1,000, right? Do you really think the PS3 will cost over $1,000?

: No not over 1000$ just some thing about 600-800$ minus it's a recorder. then add some price to RSX Gpu, Cell Cpu ,sony may a little pay for make it under price and all the other crap. sony may do something like ps2 it may un able to play cd or dvd. ... now think about this x-box360 ready to reduce price when ps3 out

http://www.computerandvideogames.com/r/
?page=http://www.computerandvideogames
.com/news/news_story.php(que)id=125729

"We will wind up cost-reducing the product every year,"

and revolution about 200$

------now rice war : ------
*** Ps3 minium about 600-800$ (not have hdd , router been remove and sound on bord. still it's ref. price)
*** X-box minium at 300$ (not have hdd and it's ref. price but ready to reduce ***microsoft say about pipe lineand. integer performance. DRAM. (help shader) and better frame buffer. all that x-box360 is better than ps3 eg. have more performance even lower hardware (eg.put 2ghz cpu to 1gb ram better performance than put 3ghz. cpu to main board that have only 32mb ram)***)
*** revolution about 200$ have at last 1 add on (dvd player , hdd suport , other device include in box still undecide and may not include in ref price set (but still have at last 1 add on). 1/2gig flash memory for something but may used for save game only ... may)

If ps3 not #1 will it able to trojan ? ... there is also some people don't play game and thay don't pay more.

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